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can_07211
(07/21/07) -

Conservative Lead Dwindles in Canada

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Conservative party is holding on to the lead in Canada’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. 33 per cent of decided voters would support the Tories in the next election to the House of Commons.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Conservative party is holding on to the lead in Canada’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. 33 per cent of decided voters would support the Tories in the next election to the House of Commons.

The Liberal party is second with 28 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 19 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with nine per cent, and the Green party with eight per cent. Support for the Tories and the Bloc fell by one point since mid-June, while backing for the Grits increased by the same margin.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January 2006. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party. In December 2006, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberals.

On Jul. 19 in Barbados, Harper announced his intention to launch free trade talks with the 15-nation Caribbean Community (Caricom), declaring, “I know there is some scepticism within the region about free trade. But frankly, there is no better way to boost living standards over the long term.”

Also on Jul. 19, Dion criticized the current administration for its record on employment, saying, “The Conservative government either does not understand the importance of our manufacturing sector, or it does not care. Canadians deserve a government that will fight to keep good, high-paying manufacturing jobs.”

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you be most likely to support in your constituency?

Jul. 18Jun. 18 May 23 Mar. 28
Conservative 33%34%35%39%
Liberal 28% 27%28%22%
New Democratic Party19% 19%18% 17%
Bloc Québécois9%10%9%10%
Green 8%8%9%11%
Other3%1%1%1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,716 Canadian adults, conducted from Jul. 13 to Jul. 18, 2007. Margin of error is 2.0 per cent.

Complete Poll (PDF)