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aus_0519
(09/08/07) -

Opposition Leads by 18 Points in Australia

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Australia’s main opposition party has gained a significant amount of public support in just two weeks, according to a Newspoll published in The Australian. 51 per cent of respondents would vote for the Australian Labor Party (ALP) in the next election to the House of Representatives, up five points since mid-August.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Australia’s main opposition party has gained a significant amount of public support in just two weeks, according to a Newspoll published in The Australian. 51 per cent of respondents would vote for the Australian Labor Party (ALP) in the next election to the House of Representatives, up five points since mid-August.

The Coalition of Liberals and Nationals is second with 37 per cent, followed by the Australian Greens with three per cent. Australia’s preferential voting system—where electors indicate an order of predilection for each contender, and the ballots from smaller parties are re-distributed—gives the ALP an 18-point lead over the Coalition.

In the October 2004 election, Australian prime minister John Howard was rewarded with a fourth term in office, as the Coalition secured 87 seats in the House of Representatives. The ALP—led by Mark Latham—elected 60 lawmakers. In December 2006, foreign affairs spokesman Kevin Rudd became the new leader of the ALP, defeating Kim Beazley in an internal caucus ballot.

Australia is currently hosting the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit. On Sept. 5, Howard and United States president George W. Bush read a joint statement promoting a new global agreement to combat climate change that would replace the Kyoto Protocol—which is set to expire in 2012. The two leaders said the new plan should be "consistent with economic growth, poverty alleviation and improvements in living standards." Among other things, the statement emphasized the need to increase the use of nuclear energy.

Australia is expected to hold a legislative election in October or November 2007.

Polling Data

If a federal election to the House of Representatives were held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If "Uncommitted", to which one of these do you have a leaning?

 

Sept. 2

Aug. 19

Aug. 5

Australian Labor Party

51%

46%

48%

Coalition (Liberal / National)

37%

36%

39%

Australian Greens

3%

5%

4%

Others

9%

10%

9%

Two-Party Preferred Vote


 

Sept. 2

Aug. 19

Aug. 5

Australian Labor Party

59%

55%

56%

Coalition (Liberal / National)

41%

45%

44%


Source: Newspoll / The Australian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,152 Australian voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.