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us_2008_day
(11/10/07) -

Hillary Leads Giuliani in Three U.S. Polls

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton could defeat Republican Rudy Giuliani in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to three recent voting intention polls. In a survey by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion released by WNBC, 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator, while 40 per cent would support the former New York City mayor.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton could defeat Republican Rudy Giuliani in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to three recent voting intention polls. In a survey by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion released by WNBC, 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator, while 40 per cent would support the former New York City mayor.

In a study by Gallup for USA Today, Rodham Clinton holds a six-point lead over Giuliani. In a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN, the Democrat also leads the Republican by six points.

On Nov. 8, American religious broadcaster Pat Robertson endorsed Giuliani, saying, "It is my pleasure to announce my support for America’s Mayor, Rudy Giuliani, a proven leader who is not afraid of what lies ahead and who will cast a hopeful vision for all Americans."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

a) If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

Nov. 2007

May 2007

Feb. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

50%

48%

45%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

40%

43%

47%

Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion / WNBC
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,102 American adults, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

b) Suppose the 2008 presidential election were being held today. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for?

 

Nov. 2007

Aug. 2007

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

51%

46%

50%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

45%

50%

46%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,024 American adults, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

c) If (…) were the Democratic Party’s candidate and (…) were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?

 

Nov. 2007

Oct. 2007

Sept. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

51%

49%

50%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

45%

47%

46%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 929 American registered voters, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.