The Poll Archive RSS

els_1201
(12/01/08) -

Close Presidential Race Continues in El Salvador

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – There is no clear leader in El Salvador’s presidential race, according to a poll by Consulta Mitofsky released by TCS. 31 per cent of respondents would back Mauricio Funes of the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN), while 29.5 per cent would vote for Rodrigo Ávila of the governing conservative Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA).

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – There is no clear leader in El Salvador’s presidential race, according to a poll by Consulta Mitofsky released by TCS. 31 per cent of respondents would back Mauricio Funes of the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN), while 29.5 per cent would vote for Rodrigo Ávila of the governing conservative Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA).

More than a third of respondents remain undecided, and 2.3 per cent would support other candidates.

ARENA’s Antonio Saca, a media businessman, was elected in March 2004, garnering 57.73 per cent of the vote. ARENA candidates have won the last four presidential elections in the Central American country. Saca is ineligible for a consecutive term in office.

In September 2007, Funes became the FMLN’s presidential nominee. In March 2008, Ávila, a former National Police chief, won ARENA’s three-candidate internal nationwide primary.

The FMLN was once an umbrella armed group of left-wing revolutionaries fighting against the Salvadoran establishment. In the early 1990s, the FMLN was disbanded and became a legal political party.

On Nov. 28, Ávila pledged to increase salaries if elected, saying, "I believe that, even though we may have to implement belt-tightening measures, we need to adjust the minimum wage."

The next legislative election is scheduled for Jan. 18, 2009, with a presidential ballot following on Mar. 15.

Polling Data

Which of these candidates would you vote for in the next presidential election?

 

Nov. 2008

Oct. 2008

Jul. 2008

Mauricio Funes (FMLN)

31.0%

33.9%

34.2%

Rodrigo Ávila (ARENA)

29.5%

29.5%

30.8%

Other

2.3%

1.4%

1.7%

Not sure

37.2%

35.2%

33.3%

Source: Consulta Mitofsky / TCS
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 Salvadoran adults, conducted on Nov. 22 and Nov. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.