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can_0330
(03/30/07) -

Tories First, Liberals Plummet in Canada

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Conservative party is holding on to the top position in Canada’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. 39 per cent of decided voters would support the Tories in the next election to the House of Commons.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Conservative party is holding on to the top position in Canada’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. 39 per cent of decided voters would support the Tories in the next election to the House of Commons.

The Liberal party is second with 22 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 17 per cent, the Green party with 11 per cent, and the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent. Support for the Tories increased by one point since early March, while backing for the Grits fell by six points.

In Quebec, the Bloc has the support of 36 per cent of decided voters, with the Conservatives in second place with 33 per cent, and the Liberals fourth with 11 per cent. In Ontario, the governing party holds an eight-point advantage over the official opposition. The Tories are the most popular political organization in British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba and Saskatchewan, while the Grits are ahead in Atlantic Canada.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January 2006. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party. In December 2006, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberals.

On Mar. 27, Harper played down suggestions that a federal ballot is imminent, saying, “I know everybody sees election opportunities in this but the public didn’t elect me to sit around looking for election opportunities. The public elected me and elected our government to govern on its platform. We’ve got a lot of work to do to continue to get things done.”

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you vote for?

Mar. 28

Mar. 7

Feb. 27

The Conservative Party,
led by Stephen Harper

39%

38%

40%

The Liberal Party,
led by Stéphane Dion

22%

28%

26%

The New Democratic Party
(NDP), led by Jack Layton

17%

15%

15%

The Green Party,
led by Elizabeth May

11%

7%

8%

The Bloc Quebecois,
led by Gilles Duceppe

10%

11%

10%

Or, some other party

1%

1%

1%

Provincial Breakdown

BC

Alta.

Sask. /
Man.

Ont.

Que.

Atl.

The Conservative Party,
led by Stephen Harper

39%

63%

45%

39%

33%

28%

The Liberal Party,
led by Stéphane Dion

23%

12%

17%

31%

11%

38%

The New Democratic Party
(NDP), led by Jack Layton

23%

10%

22%

16%

12%

28%

The Green Party,
led by Elizabeth May

13%

12%

16%

13%

7%

6%

The Bloc Quebecois,
led by Gilles Duceppe

36%

Or, some other party

2%

3%

1%

1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,056 Canadian adults, conducted from Mar. 20 to Mar. 28, 2007. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.