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aus_05291
(03/13/07) -

ALP Surges in Australia’s Election Year

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The opposition Australian Labor Party (ALP) maintains a considerable advantage in the country’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Roy Morgan International. 51.5 per cent of respondents would vote for the ALP in this year’s legislative ballot, while 33 per cent would support the governing Coalition of Liberals and Nationals.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The opposition Australian Labor Party (ALP) maintains a considerable advantage in the country’s federal political scene, according to a poll by Roy Morgan International. 51.5 per cent of respondents would vote for the ALP in this year’s legislative ballot, while 33 per cent would support the governing Coalition of Liberals and Nationals.

The Australian Greens are third with seven per cent, followed by the Australian Democrats, Family First and One Nation. Australia’s preferential voting system—where electors indicate an order of predilection for each contender, and the ballots from smaller parties are re-distributed—gives the ALP a 21-point lead over the Coalition.

In the October 2004 election, prime minister John Howard was rewarded with a fourth term in office, as the Coalition secured 87 seats in the House of Representatives. The ALP—led by Mark Latham—elected 60 lawmakers. In December 2006, foreign affairs spokesman Kevin Rudd became the new leader of the ALP, defeating Kim Beazley in an internal caucus ballot.

On Mar. 8, Rudd said Australia should focus on tackling global warming, enacting an education revolution, and becoming a “middle power” in the world and the Asia Pacific region, adding, “The world can’t stand idly by and debate the science or play party politics with the future. I don’t doubt that climate change is real and nor do the vast majority of Australians.”

The next legislative election is tentatively scheduled for late 2007.

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next election to the House of Representatives?

Mar.4

Feb. 24

Feb.18

Australian Labor Party

51.5%

52.5%

48%

Coalition (Liberal / National)

33%

33%

38%

Australian Greens

7%

7.5%

7%

Australian Democrats

2%

0.5%

1.5%

Family First

1.5%

1.5%

1.5%

One Nation

1%

1%

0.5%

Two-Party Preferred Vote

Mar.4

Feb. 24

Feb.18

Australian Labor Party

60.5%

61.5%

57%

Coalition (Liberal / National)

39.5%

38.5%

43%

Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 998 Australian voters, conducted on Mar. 3 and Mar. 4, 2007. No margin of error was provided.