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election
(09/24/10) -

Ford Remains Ahead in Toronto a Month Before Mayoral Election

Most Torontonians would welcome an expansion of Toronto’s subway system, even if it means increasing taxes.

Most Torontonians would welcome an expansion of Toronto’s subway system, even if it means increasing taxes.

Rob Ford maintains a sizeable lead in the City of Toronto four weeks before voters elect their new mayor, a new Toronto Star / Angus Reid poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of 502 adults in the City of Toronto, 39 per cent of decided voters (-3 since August) and leaners would vote for Ford in the election.

George Smitherman is in second place with 26 per cent (-10), followed by Joe Pantalone with 13 per cent (+2), Sarah Thompson with 11 per cent (+5) and Rocco Rossi with eight per cent (+3).

While overall support for Ford is slightly down from last month’s survey, he is way ahead of the other four main contenders on a key indicator. Two thirds of Ford voters (66%) say their support for the candidate is firm and they might not change their mind before election day.

In stark contrast, only two-in-five people who expressed their intention to vote for Smitherman, Rossi and Pantalone say their support for these candidates is firm.

Proposals

Two thirds of Torontonians (69%) think it is a good idea to expand Toronto’s subway system and reduce the number of or get rid of streetcars, and three-in-five (58%) are in favour of creating dedicated bike lanes which are separated from car traffic by a barrier on three downtown streets: University Avenue, Richmond Street and Adelaide Street.

Two other proposals were considered as bad ideas by a majority of respondents: extending the Allen Expressway through an underground tunnel all the way to the Gardiner Expressway (56%) and keeping the subway system the way it is and expand TTC service with more streetcars (63%).

Three-in-five Torontonians (62%) would support the expansion of Toronto’s subway system if it meant increasing taxes to pay for the expansion, while 38 per cent oppose this course of action.

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)

CONTACT:

Jodi Shanoff, Senior Vice President, Public Affairs
+416 712 5498
jodi.shanoff@angus-reid.com

Methodology: From September 14 to September 15, 2010, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 502 randomly selected adults in the City of Toronto who are Angus Reid Forum panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 4.4%, 19 times out of 20. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of Toronto. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.