Only a third of people in Scotland would vote to become an independent nation in a referendum, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll conducted for the Mail on Sunday has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample of 1,003 Scottish adults, 32 per cent of respondents would vote “Yes” when presented with the new referendum question: “Should Scotland be an independent country?” Almost half of respondents (47%) would vote “No.”

The survey shows little change since a previous Angus Reid Public Opinion poll conducted with a different referendum question.

Men (39%) are more likely than women (26%) to support the idea of an independent Scotland. One-in-four female respondents (26%) are undecided, compared to 14 per cent of men.

Two-in-five respondents (38%) think independence will leave them worse off financially, including 42 per cent of those aged 55 and over, while 14 per cent of Scots expect to be better off.

Across Scotland, one-in-four respondents (25%) say they trust First Minister Alex Salmond more, while 13 per cent have more confidence in Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. Half of Scots (50%) say they do not trust either leader more.

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Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
+877 730 3570

Methodology: From January 30 to February 1, 2013, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 1,003 randomly selected adults in Scotland. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 3.1%, 19 times out of 20. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of Scotland. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.