If people in Canada and Britain could cast a ballot in next week’s United States presidential election, they would overwhelmingly support the incumbent, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.
In the online survey of representative national samples, Canadians prefer Barack Obama to Mitt Romney by a 7-to-1 margin (72% to 10%), while Britons favour the Democrat over the Republican by a 10-to-1 margin (62% to 6%).
Roughly half of respondents in the two countries (49% in Canada, 52% in Britain) think Obama has performed at the level they expected.
One-in-four Canadians (24%) and 18 per cent of Britons believe Obama has performed worse than they expected.
A third of Canadians (32%) say that Barack Obama has accomplished much since he became President, a view shared by 22 per cent of Britons.
Obama’s popularity in the hypothetical ballot question is directly related to the perception that he has had a positive effect on foreign relations. Two thirds of Canadians (68%) and practically three-in-five Britons (57%) believe that having Barack Obama as President of the United States has been “good” for their respective countries.
Since an Angus Reid Public Opinion survey conducted five months ago, the proportion of Canadians and Britons who would “vote” for Obama has increased by seven points and 11 points respectively.
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
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Methodology: From October 23 to October 26, 2012, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 1,005 randomly selected Canadian adults who are Angus Reid Forum panelists, and 2,004 randomly selected British adults who are Springboard UK panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 3.1% for Canada and 2.2% for Britain. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of Canada and Britain. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.