Democrat Barack Obama would carry the State of Michigan in the 2012 United States presidential race, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of 551 likely voters in the Great Lake State, 52 per cent of decided voters say they would support Obama in next month’s ballot, while 43 per cent would back Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

Obama holds a 21-point advantage over Romney among women (58% to 37%). The Republican presidential nominee is ahead among male voters (50% to 46%).

Decided voters aged 35-to-54 are evenly split on which one of the two main presidential contenders they would back, with 49 per cent saying they would vote for Romney, and 48 per cent supporting Obama.

The incumbent president keeps a large lead among decided voters aged 18-to-34 (64% to 28%), while the Republican challenger is ahead among those over the age of 55 (51% to 46%).

In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow holds a 20-point lead over GOP rival Pete Hoekstra (59% to 39%) among decided voters.

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)


Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
+877 730 3570

Methodology: From October 18 to October 20, 2012, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 551 randomly selected Michigan likely voters who are Springboard America panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 4.2%. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current age and gender data to ensure samples representative of the entire adult population of Michigan. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.