Barack Obama has regained the lead in the United States presidential race, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample of 865 registered American voters, 48 per cent of respondents who express a preference (+3 since August) say they will vote for the Democratic Party nominee in this year’s ballot, while 46 per cent (-3) would support Republican Mitt Romney.

In August, Romney held a ten-point lead over Obama among male voters. This month, the GOP nominee is still ahead of the incumbent president among men, but just by four points (48% to 44%). On the other hand, Obama has reconnected with the female electorate, and now holds a ten-point advantage over Romney among women (53% to 43%).

The race remains tightly contested among registered voters aged 35-to-54, with Obama (48%) barely ahead of Romney (46%). The Republican nominee is still the preferred choice for registered voters over the age of 55 (53% to 42%), while the Democrat holds the lead among registered voters aged 18-to-34 (55% to 36%).

Romney is supported by a majority of respondents in the South (51%), while Obama holds the upper hand in the Northeast (52%), West (also 52%) and Midwest (49%).

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)


Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
+877 730 3570

Methodology: From September 19 to September 20, 2012, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 865 randomly selected American registered voters who are Springboard America panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 3.5%. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of the United States. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.