(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Just weeks before a legislative election in the Netherlands, the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) has become the strongest political party, according to a poll by Maurice de Hond. A prospective tally shows that the VVD would win 37 seats in next month’s ballot.

The Labour Party (PvdA) is second with 31 seats, followed by the governing Christian-Democratic Appeal (CDA) with 24, the far-right Party for Freedom (PvdV) with 16, and the Green Left (GL) with 11. Support is lower for the Socialist Party (SP), Democrats 66 (D66), the Christian Union (CU), the Reformed Political Party (SGP) and the Party for the Animals (PvdD).

Dutch voters renewed the Second Chamber in November 2006. The CDA—led by current minister president Jan Peter Balkenende—secured 41 out of 150 seats. In February 2007, a coalition encompassing the CDA, the PvdA of Wouter Bos, and the CU of Andre Rouvouet was assembled.

In June 2009, the PvdV—which has gained notoriety due to the stance on immigration of its leader, Geert Wilders—won four of the 25 Dutch seats in the European Parliament.

In February, the Dutch government collapsed over disagreements related to the country’s military deployment in Afghanistan. Balkenende tendered his resignation to Queen Beatrix. A new general election will take place on Jun. 9

Bos has announced his retirement from politics, and endorsed Amsterdam mayor Job Cohen as his replacement. Cohen led the PvdA in the 2003 election, which was narrowly won by the CDA.

The conservative VVD was the second largest opposition party in the most recent legislature. On Apr. 26, VVD leader Mark Rutte called the upcoming ballot "the most important election in a generation," adding, "The next generations do not have to be worse off than the current one."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next parliamentary election?
(Results presented in seats)

 

May 18

May 12

May 5

People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)

37

34

33

Labour Party (PvdA)

31

32

33

Christian-Democratic Appeal (CDA)

24

26

27

Party for Freedom (PvdV)

16

16

17

Green Left (GL)

11

11

10

Socialist Party (SP)

10

10

10

Democrats 66 (D66)

9

10

11

Christian Union (CU)

8

7

6

Reformed Political Party (SGP)

2

2

2

Party for the Animals (PvdD)

2

2

1

Proud of the Netherlands (ToN)

Source: Maurice de Hond
Methodology: Interviews with 1,000 Dutch adults, conducted on May 18, 2010. No margin of error was provided.